Labor's 2PP for the election at 52-53%, which means 76 to 82 seats in the House of Reps, and Greens (and possibly Xenophon) to hold the balance of power in the Senate (again with Labor slightly ahead of the Coalition).
I'd like to say Dems will hold a seat but even with the pref swap deal with the Greens, I can't see it happening. Pity - Andrew Bartlett seems to me to be the only truly accessible Senator we have.
There may be a touch of the wishful thinking about this one, but short of something catastrophic going the Coalition's way I think it'll be a tight win to Labor. The Rodent has to go, and I think there's just too many people sick of him.